#### Kopstar

##### ★★★★★★

- Joined
- Jun 15, 2007

- Messages
- 14,416

Incidentally, I think the valuation of players needs to be a bit more sophisticated than simply doubling their transfermarkt value. If you do that then you get a valuation of £126m for de Ligt, for example. I just can't see any club paying £50m more than Van Dijk cost us just over a year ago for a 19 yr old centre back. Maybe I'm wrong and competition for his signature will drive the price up to that sort of range but I think a valuation just short of what van Dijk cost us is more realistic.

Maybe there needs to be some sort of informal valuation panel? Incidentally, he's got 2 years left on his current deal so under my formula he'd be worth the £63m transfermarkt have him as. Pepe, however, has three years left so he'd be worth £46.8m (1.3 x his transfermarkt value of £36m). Maybe the formula could be tweaked slightly? No increase to transfermarkt value for 1 year remaining, increase by 15% if 2 years remaining, 40% if 3 years remaining, 60% if 4+ years remaining? Something like that?

That would make de Ligt £72.45m and Pepe £50.4m which, to me, feels about right.

What d'yer reckon?

That formula would give the following values (£m) to our first XI players:

Alisson 93.6

TAA 72

Gomez 50.4

VvD 108

Robertson 72

Henderson 40.32

Fabinho 64.8

AOC 50.4

Mane 122.4

Firmino 115.2

Salah 216

My proposed sales would then be:

Lallana £13.5m

Lovren £20.7m

Shaqiri £36m

Clyne £13.5m

Grujic £25.92m

Karius £7.25m

Kent £2.5m (transfermarkt are shit with academy player valuations, particularly for home grown players)

Does that look about right?

Maybe there needs to be some sort of informal valuation panel? Incidentally, he's got 2 years left on his current deal so under my formula he'd be worth the £63m transfermarkt have him as. Pepe, however, has three years left so he'd be worth £46.8m (1.3 x his transfermarkt value of £36m). Maybe the formula could be tweaked slightly? No increase to transfermarkt value for 1 year remaining, increase by 15% if 2 years remaining, 40% if 3 years remaining, 60% if 4+ years remaining? Something like that?

That would make de Ligt £72.45m and Pepe £50.4m which, to me, feels about right.

What d'yer reckon?

That formula would give the following values (£m) to our first XI players:

Alisson 93.6

TAA 72

Gomez 50.4

VvD 108

Robertson 72

Henderson 40.32

Fabinho 64.8

AOC 50.4

Mane 122.4

Firmino 115.2

Salah 216

My proposed sales would then be:

Lallana £13.5m

Lovren £20.7m

Shaqiri £36m

Clyne £13.5m

Grujic £25.92m

Karius £7.25m

Kent £2.5m (transfermarkt are shit with academy player valuations, particularly for home grown players)

Does that look about right?

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